week Tweleve, NFL picks (Thanksgiving edition)

Well we've made it to week 12 in the NFL, Thanksgiving weekend.  This is where things start to get interesting, with almost every team battling for playoff positioning over the next six weeks.  The AFC is wide open, with no one dominant team as we have the Jets, Titans, Ravens, Bengals, Steelers, Raiders and Broncos all battling for divisions or Wild Cards.  The NFC doesn't have quite as many teams in the race but it will be a harder fight as you will need at least 10 wins.  It all gets started tomorrow with three good, better then in recent memory, football games.
week 12: picks
1)  I am going to pick two Thanksgiving games so lets start with the Miami Dolphins at Dallas Cowboys, tomorrow afternoon at 4 P.M.  Its hard to tell what Cowboy team will show up and Miami is starting to look like a good team, now that they have a few wins under their belt.  I'll take the Miami Dolphins (+7) on the road in Dallas.  Miami Dolphins +7     
2) Also on Thanksgiving evening at 8 P.M the San Francisco 49ers travel east to take on the Baltimore Ravens, in a battle of the Harbaugh brothers.  The Ravens are one of AFC's inconsistent teams but I don't like San Francisco traveling east on the short week, plus their due to loose.  That being said i'll take the Baltimore Ravens (-3) at home.  Baltimore Ravens -3        
3) On Sunday now, the Chicago Bears visit the Oakland Raiders.  The Bears just lost their quarterback and I don't know about Caleb Hanie who will get the start.  Give me the Oakland Raiders (-4.5) at homes against the Bears.   Oakland Raiders -4.5
4) The NY Jets should be able to get back on track this week as they host the Buffalo Bills.  Rex Ryan has sort of become the coach who cries wolf, when it comes to how good his team is but this week their playing a Buffalo Bill team that after starting off strong has just about given up on the season.  I'll take the New York Jets (-9) at home against the Bills.    NY Jets -9
5) After a disappointing game against the Eagles on Sunday Night, in which the Giants dropped a couple passes, failed to change their offensive game plan to see if they could run the ball, played undisciplined, and took some bad penalties.  The NY Giants travel to New Orleans to play the Saints on Monday Night Football, hopefully the Giants have a better game plan this week because 29 yards rushing will not work against a Saints team coming off the bye week.  The Giants have to figure out a way to get to 10 wins and that will not be easy when your schedule includes games against the Saints, Packers, Redskins, Cowboys (2) and Jets.  I think a win this week in New Orleans will be to much to ask, I'll take the Saints (-7) at home against the Giants.  New Orleans Saints -7