week 16 NFL picks

After a so-so week last week, here are my picks for week 16 of the NFL season.  Only 1 week left in the regular season.
1.  I am going to take Dallas (-7) at home against Arizona. Arizona is a mess and Dallas is playing better with John Kitna under center and coach Jason Garrett.  Dallas (-7)
2.  I am taking the Chicago Bears (-1) at home against the Jets,  I still not convinced the Jets are as good as their record, they'll have to show me more and Chicago has something to play for.  Chicago (-1)
3.  I am taking the Baltimore Ravens (-3) at Cleveland, Cleveland hasn't been able to put games away at times this season. Baltimore (-3)
4.  The Giants (+3) at Green Bay, the Giants coming off a tough loss I believe are going to bounce back against an good Packers D.  Giants (+3)  
5.  San Diego (-7.5) at Cincinnati, the Chargers have to win to make the playoffs.  San Diego (-7.5)